Guest essay by Prabir Purkayastha, A Socialist In Canada, May 28, 2021. Originally published in Newsclick (India), May 15, 2021
A virus that mutates forever is a perpetual money-making machine for Big Pharma. Everyone else wants all people vaccinated within a year and an end to this pandemic.
After three months of dithering, the Biden administration has finally agreed to a temporary waiver of patent rights on Covid-19 vaccines. The proposal by South Africa and India to waive intellectual property rights in the WTO has support from a large number of countries and more than 400 public health organisations. The opposition is now from the EU countries, which had earlier portrayed themselves as more progressive than the U.S. Under Trump, that was not difficult. The Biden move has wrong-footed the EU, leaving it the only public supporter of Big Pharma in the WTO.
While appearing to support the South Africa-India proposal, the Biden administration has considerably narrowed the scope of the waiver to just patents and not what the original proposal in WTO sought: to waive all intellectual property rights on Covid-19 vaccines, diagnostics, medicine, including industrial designs, copyright and trade secrets. These are required to scale up vaccines from research and development to production at an industrial scale. Also, the Biden patent waiver is limited to vaccines only. It leaves out patents on Remdesivir and various monoclonal antibodies that have shown efficacy against Covid-19. Without extending the vaccine patent waiver to other property rights, the Biden stance waiving only vaccine patents is more optics than real. The issue of knowledge transfers to other countries to scale up vaccine manufacturing still needs to be fought and won.
(Further below is a list of related and suggested readings on the coronavirusa pandemic, prepared by the editor of A Socialist In Canada.)
Even if it is at the level of optics, why did the U.S. suddenly change its position? The U.S. has been relatively isolated on its America First policy of hoarding vaccines, vaccinating all Americans first before exporting any to the rest of the world. The U.S. is sitting on tens of millions doses of Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccines that it is not using, while the WHO Covax program—on which a large part of the world depends—is unable to get supplies. And lastly, with India facing a huge surge in cases domestically and virtually stopping all exports, China has emerged as the only source of vaccines for large parts of Africa, Asia and Latin America. All this is endangering the Biden plan of a grand alliance against China to isolate it globally.
The unstated U.S. geostrategic vision is that western Big Pharma companies should dominate the rich-country markets and the market of the global rich. These are the only two markets of interest to Big Pharma. Moderna is slated to generate a revenue of $19.2 billion this year and Pfizer-BioNTech $26 billion. It is this market that the rich countries want to protect.
The U.S. was banking on its new Quad partner India to provide vaccines to the rest of the world through the WHO Covax program. Covax, though nominally run by WHO, is dominated by Bill Gates and his various vaccine initiatives: the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, GAVI and CEPI. The Serum Institute of India, with the AstraZeneca and Novavax vaccines, and Biological E, with the Johnson & Johnson (Janssen) vaccine, would make available 2.6-3 billion doses per year from India for other countries, helping vaccinate the global population.
This strategy faltered due to the utter incompetence of the Modi government to use indigenous capability to ramp up vaccine production rapidly. The other constraint was the virtual U.S. export ban under the Defence Production Act of 1950, which denied Indian manufacturers vital equipment and raw materials. At the current rate of vaccination, it will take 4.6 years to vaccinate the world. And China and Russia have effectively emerged as the only two countries willing to offer vaccines and technology to others.
If the U.S. had banked on the ability of the Modi government to compete with China on the vaccine front, it backed the wrong horse. The Modi administration failed miserably as it not only did not anticipate a second wave, it also did not invest in vaccine and bio-pharmaceutical capacity to boost India’s vaccine production. Instead, the Modi government believed in the “magic” of the free market to provide all the vaccines needed without any planning or government support.
The proponents of the patent monopoly, including Bill Gates, argue that a patent waiver is useless as a lack of technology, knowledge and capital, not patents, are holding up vaccine production outside rich countries. If patents are not stopping vaccine production in other countries, why did Big Pharma and the rich countries oppose such a waiver at the WTO for the last six months? And why its anger towards the Biden administration’s current stand on patent waivers?
According to Big Pharma, a patent waiver on vaccines will disincentivise research and is a huge blow to innovators. What they hide—and this is not new—is that most of the research money for the new vaccines have come from public funds. A Lancet paper published recently by J. Wouters and others shows that governments and philanthropic organisations have given more than 10 billion dollars to develop the current crop of vaccines and promising vaccine candidates. This figure does not include the billions of dollars in advance orders that the U.S. and the UK governments paid to Pfizer and AstraZeneca.
The argument of providing Big Pharma with a monopoly to incentivise drug discovery is, therefore, bogus. The money and most of the research comes from public funds and government laboratories.
The role of philanthropic money in developing private monopolies merits a more detailed discussion. But for this article, this money should be on par with public money as it comes out of tax-free dollars. Bill Gates and his initiatives—the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation—deserve a special mention here as their role directly strengthened Big Pharma monopoly. Bill Gates and the power he wields through the Melinda Gates Foundation, GAVI and CEPI led the Jenner Institute, Oxford University, to abandon its initial idea to make their vaccine technology available to any company non-exclusively. Instead, it signed an exclusive contract with AstraZeneca.
Three major technology platforms have emerged in a current lot of successful vaccines. They are:
i) the old-fashioned inactivated virus as a vaccine, e.g. Sinovac, Sinopharm, and ICMR-Bharat Biotech
ii) using a relatively innocuous virus as a vector to carry a SARS-CoV-2 protein, e.g. AstraZeneca, Cansino, Gamaleya Institute’s Sputnik V, Johnson & Johnson
iii) mRNA that tells the body cells to produce the SARS-CoV-2 protein, e.g. Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna. All three platforms have produced successful vaccines.
Almost all the Big Pharma arguments on why patent waivers are not of much use are for mRNA vaccine platforms. Though the argument that countries such as India, China and South Korea, the three largest generic vaccine manufacturers, do not have biologic capability is incorrect, the mRNA vaccines are not of immediate public health interest to most countries. They require an ultra-cold chain as otherwise, they degrade rapidly. The cost and effort involved in building such an ultra-cold chain preclude mRNA vaccines in mass vaccination programs in most countries. What are of interest for most countries are the inactivated virus vaccines or the adenovirus vector vaccines.
The WHO-supported platforms—CEPI and GAVI—in which Bill Gates has an outsized influence, have focussed much more on the new mRNA and adenovirus vector vaccine platforms and not on the traditional inactivated virus vaccines. Dr Palacios of Butanta Institute, speaking at a South Centre event on 1 April, pointed out that CEPI and COVAX largely funded newer vaccine technologies and disregarded the inactivated virus vaccines (e.g. the Sinovac and Bharat Biotech vaccines). These vaccines are effective, cost less and can be produced easily in many developing countries. Before we dismiss these vaccines as yesterday’s technology, it is relevant to note that this is still the vaccine platform for flu vaccinations across the world, with about 1.5 billion doses per year.
What about the adenovirus vector vaccines; and how complex are they? The only novel part of the adenovirus vector vaccines from AstraZeneca, Cansino and Gamaleya’s Sputnik V is that they insert a small spike protein snippet in the adenovirus vector and then grow the adenovirus as is done for the inactivated virus. Five companies in India, a consortium of South Korean companies, and another consortium of Chinese companies are planning to scale up the production of Sputnik V to 1.5 to 2 billion doses per year.
For any company involved in biologics, this is pretty much routine technology. India has about 20 such companies. So have South Korea and China. Bangladesh, South East Asia and Latin American countries also can create biologic drug manufacturing capability, and can therefore become major manufacturers. Cuba has developed five vaccines, of which two are in advanced clinical trials. According to the WHO Global Market Report 2020, three Indian companies provide about 44% of the world’s vaccines by dosage. The Bill Gates argument, made recently in a Sky TV interview, that “…it’s only because of our grants and expertise” that the Indians (or Koreans, Chinese, Latinos, Africans, Arabs, etc), can produce the vaccines is just a racist view of the world. A repetition of the white man’s burden that cloaked the earlier genocidal colonial enterprise.
Do we want to spend the next few years reinventing the wheel on vaccines to protect the monopoly profits of a few Big Pharma companies? And thereby condemn the world to a much longer Covid-19 pandemic? Or do we believe that public health demands rapid sharing of knowledge so that we vaccinate all the people within the next 6-12 months? If we do not, new virus mutants will emerge, requiring us to rejig our vaccines in a never-ending game of snakes and ladders. This is of interest to Big Pharma, as it will create a perpetual money-making machine. But not for us, who believe that a caring world needs sharing of knowledge.
(Prabir Purkayastha is the founding editor of Newsclick.in, a digital media platform. He is an activist for science and the free software movement.)
Related pandemic analysis, compiled by A Socialist In Canada:
* Covid’s deadliest phase may be here soon, commentary by Dr. Zeynep Tufekci, New York Times, May 28, 2021 …Waiving vaccine patents is fine, but unless it’s tied to a process that actually increases the supply of vaccines, it’s a little bit more than expressing thoughts and prayers after a tragedy. Officials from all nations that produce vaccines need to gather for an emergency meeting immediately to decide how to commandeer whatever excess capacity they have to produce more, through whatever means necessary…
* Why are so many of my fellow health workers in the U.S. unvaccinated?, by Dr. Syra Madad, New York Times, May 28, 2021 …As of early March 2021, surveys showed that nearly half of frontline health care workers remained unvaccinated, even though this group has been eligible for a Covid-19 vaccine since December 2020…
* New analysis finds global Covid death toll is double official estimates, STAT News, May 6, 2021
* The U.S.and its Western allies are pressuring the World Health Organization on coronavirus origins, looking to scapegoat China for their disastrous handing of the pandemic, by Leng Shumei, Zhang Hui and Chen Qingqing, in Global Times (China), May 26, 2021
* U.S. mired in its own Cultural Revolution and Covid-19 conspiracies, editorial, Global Times, May 26, 2021
* The (very strong) case for COVID-19 leaking from a Chinese lab, National Post (conservative daily in Canada), May 28, 2021
[Note by A Socialist In Canada editor: The ‘lab leak’ coronavirus conspiracy theory is being resuscitated by Western media and governments. They are stirring up false information accusing a public health laboratory in Wuhan, China of allowing the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus to ‘escape’ in early 2020, and they accuse the Chinese government of ‘covering up’ that information and ‘silencing’ scientists who sought to draw attention to the extreme danger of such an escape. The theory was first voiced by the Donald Trump regime in early 2020 as millions of Americans began to be infected by Covid-19 and hundreds of thousands subsequently died. Those illnesses and deaths were the result of the extreme negligence by the regime and U.S. health authorities. A similar pattern of neglect unfolded in European countries and in Canada. An example of the resurgence of the theory is contained in the print edition headline of the above report in the National Post on May 27, 2021. The report is written by a National Post staff writer and the print edition headline reads: ‘The possibly [sic] strong case for Covid-19 leaking from a Chinese lab’. The ‘lab leak’ conspiracy theory is being resuscitated precisely at a time when global vaccination efforts have stalled in such key countries as India and Brazil. Awareness of that stalling and its deadly consequences for the entire world is rising in Western countries. Populations there are also beginning to ponder more deeply why so many of their fellow citizens were infected and died from the global pandemic. Was the human carnage inevitable? Why did Western governments and their subordinates not act decisively to reach ‘zero Covid’ as did China? By far the most successful country to combat the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has been China, but this is rarely, if ever, acknowledged in Western media, be it in corporate media or in most alternative media.]
Previous articles by Prabir Purkayastha:
* Bill Gates, the white man’s burden and the Modi government’s vaccine debacle in India, by Prabir Purkayastha, Newsclick, May 8, 2021
* The long road to Covid-19 immunity, even with vaccines, by Prabir Purkayastha, published in Newsclick, Sept 27. 2020
* The coronavirus pandemic poses fundamental challenges to all societies, by Prabir Purkayastha, Newsclick, Mar 25, 2020